New Market Research Report: Turkey Power Report Q1 2011

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Turkey Power Report Q1 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
 
Jan. 14, 2011 - PRLog -- The new Turkey Power Report from BMI forecasts the country will account for 8.37% of Central and Eastern European (CEE) regional power generation by 2015 and, after system losses and power industry usage, have a broadly balanced market. CEE power generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 2,581 terawatt hours (TWh), representing a recovery of 2.3% from the previous year. We forecast an increase in regional generation to 3,023TWh by 2015, representing a rise of 17.1% during 2010-2015.

CEE thermal power generation in 2010 will have been about 1,284TWh, accounting for 49.7% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 1,449TWh, representing 12.8% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 47.9% - due to environmental concerns promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Turkish thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated at 158TWh, representing 12.32% of the regional total. In 2015, it will account for 13.80% of thermal generation.

For Turkey, gas will have been the dominant fuel in 2010, accounting for an estimated 31.5% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by oil at 30.6%, coal at 29.1% and hydro having an 8.6% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,518mn toe by 2015, representing 17.00% growth over the period 2010-2015. Turkey's estimated 2010 market share of 7.49% is set to rise to 8.56% by 2015. Turkey plans longer-term nuclear power construction, but currently makes no contribution to regional nuclear consumption.

Turkey shares third place with Russia in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Rating, and is just one point behind second-placed Poland. It is difficult to expect Turkey to compete for regional leadership, and it may be unable to keep up with Russia over the long term. The current score reflects the substantial size of the country's electricity market and infrastructure, a high proportion of (mostly hydro) renewables in the energy mix, average growth in PED and the region's most rapid rate of population growth. Country risk factors to some extent offset the industry scores.

BMI forecasts Turkish real GDP growth will average 5.3% a year between 2010 and 2015, with an assumed 2011 increase of 4.7%. Total population is expected to rise from 75.7mn in 2010 to 79.1mn by 2015, and GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to increase 104% and 25%, respectively. Power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 159TWh in 2010 to 209TWh in 2015.

Between 2010 and 2020, we forecast an increase in Turkish electricity generation of 59.2%, which is above average for the CEE region. This equates to 24.6% in the 2015-2020 period, down from 27.8% in 2010-2015. PED growth is set to ease from 33.8% in 2010-2015 to 24.9% during 2015-2020, representing 67.0% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 76% in hydro-power use during 2010-2020 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise 24% between 2010 and 2020. Details of BMI's long-term forecasts can be found at the end of this report.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/106532_turkey_power_report_q1_...


Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Turkey Business Environment SWOT
- Turkey Political SWOT
- Turkey Economic SWOT
Industry Overview
- Global
- Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Market Overview - Turkey
- Primary Energy Demand
- Power Generation
- Power Consumption
- Regulation And Competition
- Pricing
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Central and Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings
- Turkey's Power Rating
- Rewards
- Risks
- Legal Framework
- Infrastructure
- Labour Force
- Foreign Investment Policy
- Tax Regime
- Security Risk
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Turkey's Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Power Costs
- Transmission
- Table: Turkey's Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Turkey's Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Turkey's Non-Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Turkey's Power Costs, 2008-2015
- Assumptions and Methodology
- Key Risks to BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Long-Term Power Outlook
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Turkey - Economic Activity; 2005- 2014
Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts
- Global Snapshot
- Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020
- Regional Outlook
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1065...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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