New Market Report Now Available: Romania Defence & Security Report Q1 2011

Jan. 13, 2011 - PRLog -- Despite numerous fiscal difficulties, 2010 has shown the first signs of positive growth for the Romanian defence industry. This may well be short-lived, however; austerity measures have yet to have an effects on the economy toward the end of the year. Judicial reform and political stability are key problems for the country in relation to EU-IMF bailout packages that Romania relies on for development. If these issues are not resolved, the country's defence industry is likely to see a double dip growth pattern, with further contraction in 2011.

Romania's latest bout of bilateral tensions with Russia is reflective of deep-seated friction between the two former Communist states. Indeed, although current disagreements centre on Russia's allegations that a Romanian official has been spying, we expect further diplomatic spats over the long term due to fundamental disagreements over Romania's pro-Western foreign policy.

While Romania's economy has shown some moderate improvement through recent quarters, we believe that its path out of recession is not yet secure. Indeed, macroeconomic imbalances remain substantial: we expect the drastic austerity programme that the government is currently implementing will cause economic activity to decline through the coming quarters. On this basis, we see 2010 real GDP expanding by 1.1% in 2010, and by a less-than-impressive 3.9% in 2011.

The defence industry will see further restructuring and privatisation moving into 2011. To date this has been highly successful in attracting interest from foreign firms. Joint ventures, at least with the larger Romanian companies, have grown. In the longer term, privatisation, modernisation and increasing foreign involvement are likely to drive defence exports.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Romania Security SWOT
- Romania Defence Industry SWOT
- Romania Political SWOT
- Romania Economic SWOT
- Romania Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Table: Global Election Timetable, 2010 And 2011
- Latin America: More Of The Same
- Western Europe
- Central Europe
- South Eastern Europe
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union
- Middle East: Mostly The Same Old Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Definitive Elections Pending
- Asia: Accommodating A More Powerful China
- Wild Cards
Global Security Outlook
The Future Of NATO
Regional Security Overview
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Romania's Security Risk Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
- External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- International Deployment And Joint Exercises
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Arms Trade Overview
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Romanian Army Personnel, 2004-2008
- Table: Romanian Government Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Table: Romanian Available Manpower, 2008-2015 ('000 personnel)
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: Romania - GDP Contribution To Growth
Company Profiles
- Aerostar
- EADS/Eurocopter Romania
- IAR SA Brasov
- MFA Mizil
- Romaero
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.