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Follow on Google News | Market Report, "Kazakhstan Power Report Q1 2011", publishedNew Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
CEE thermal power generation in 2010 will have been around 1,284TWh, accounting for 49.7% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 1,449TWh, implying 12.8% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 47.9% - thanks to environmental concerns promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Kazakhstan's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 73.9TWh, or 5.75% of the regional total. By 2015, the country is expected to account for 692% of CEE thermal generation. Coal is the dominant fuel source in Kazakhstan. In 2010, it will have accounted for an estimated 51.1% of primary energy demand (PED). Coal is followed by gas at 28.0%, oil at 18.1% and hydro with a 2.8% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,518mn toe by 2015, representing 17.00% growth over the period 2010-2015. Kazakhstan's estimated 2010 market share of 5.20% of regional demand is set to rise to 6.01% by 2015. Kazakhstan has longer-term plans for nuclear power generation, but will not contribute to regional nuclear consumption during the forecast period. Kazakhstan is ahead of Poland in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, having retained regional leadership. There is a combination of unrivalled power consumption growth outlook, regiontopping energy demand growth, steady privatisation progress, and relatively low level of energy import dependence. Country risk factors offset some of the industry strengths, but the country should remain at the top of the regional ladder. BMI is now predicting that Kazakh real GDP growth will average 7.2% per annum between 2010 and 2015, with an assumed rise of 7.1% in 2011. The population is expected to expand from 16.1mn to 16.7mn over the period, and GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to increase 121% and 35% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 59.2TWh in 2010 to 83.6TWh by the end of the forecast period, after power industry usage and system losses, we see an estimated net import requirement of 2.6TWh, assuming 6.6% average annual growth in power generation in 2010-2015. Between 2010 and 2020, we are forecasting an increase in Kazakh electricity generation of 95.4%, which is the highest projected growth rate for the CEE region. This equates to 40.3% over the 2015-2020 period, up from 39.3% between 2010 and 2015. PED growth is set to increase from 35.1% between 2010 and 2015 to 36.4% in 2015-2020, representing 84.2% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 131% in hydro-power use during the period 2010-2020 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 77.8% between 2010 and 2020. More detailed long-term forecasts can be found later in this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Kazakhstan Political SWOT - Kazakhstan Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015 - Central And Eastern Europe - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh) Kazakhstan Market Overview - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Kazakhstan's Power Rating - Kazakhstan's Business Environment Industry Forecast Scenario - Kazakhstan Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Kazakhstan's Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Kazakhstan's Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Kazakhstan's Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Kazakhstan's Power Costs, 2008-2015 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - KAZAKHSTAN - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020 - Regional Outlook - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Kazakhstan Country Overview - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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