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Follow on Google News | New Market Research Report: Poland Power Report Q1 2011Fast Market Research recommends "Poland Power Report Q1 2011" from Business Monitor International, now available
CEE thermal power generation in 2010 will have been around 1,284TWh, accounting for 49.7% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 1,449TWh, implying 12.8% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 47.9% - thanks to environmental concerns promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Poland's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 150.2TWh, representing 11.69% of the regional total. By 2015 it is expected to account for 12.01% of thermal generation. For Poland, coal is the dominant fuel, accounting for an estimated 58.2% of 2010 primary energy demand (PED), followed by oil at 26.7%, gas at 13.1% and hydro with a 0.8% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,518mn toe by 2015, representing 17.00% growth over the period 2010- 2015. Poland's estimated 2010 market share of 7.40% is set to fall to 7.32% by 2015. Poland has no operational nuclear generating capacity and is not expected to build a new plant during the forecast period. It makes no contribution to regional nuclear energy consumption. Poland is now positioned second behind only Kazakhstan in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks largely to its power consumption growth outlook, substantial installed capacity and power generation, competitive landscape and progress towards full power market deregulation. Country risk factors complement the many industry strengths, but Poland is ranked just a point above Turkey and Russia. BMI forecasts average annual Polish real GDP growth of 4.1% between 2010 and 2015, with an assumed 2011 increase of 3.9%. The population is expected to slip from 38.2mn to 38.0mn over the period, and GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to increase by 63% and 22% respectively. The country's electricity consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 123.6TWh in 2010 to 149.8TWh by the end of the forecast period. After power industry usage and system losses, we see an estimated net shortfall of up to 3.0TWh, assuming 3.4% average annual growth in electricity generation in 2010-2015. Between 2010 and 2020 we are forecasting an increase in Polish electricity generation of 36.05%, which is middle of the range for the CEE region. This equates to 15.1% in the 2015-2020 period, down from 18.2% in 2010-2015. PED growth is set to ease from 15.7% in 2010-2015 to 12.9% in the 2015-2020 period, representing 30.6% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 40% in hydro-power use during 2010-2020 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 34% between 2010 and 2020. More detailed long-term forecasts can be found towards the end of this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Poland Power Business Environment SWOT - Poland Political SWOT - Poland Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015 - Central And Eastern Europe - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh) Market Overview - Poland - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Central and Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Overview Of Poland's Power Rating - Rewards - Risks - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Poland's Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Poland's Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Poland's Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Poland's Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Table: Poland's Power Sector, Costs, 2008-2015 - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Table: Poland GDP by Expenditure; Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020 - Regional Outlook - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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