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Follow on Google News | "Indonesia Agribusiness Report Q1 2011" is now available at Fast Market ResearchRecently published research from Business Monitor International, "Indonesia Agribusiness Report Q1 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
Key Views * Cocoa production growth to 2014/15: 55%. Government initiatives to replace ageing trees will see an increase in yields as well as planted area, allowing Indonesia to compete with Ghana, the world's second largest producer. * Coffee production growth to 2014/15: 10%. In the short term, this growth will be stimulated by exports, particularly in the wake of global coffee prices, which have spiked since Q210. * Poultry consumption growth to 2015: 47%. This will come from a combination of increased domestic demand and government initiatives aimed at not only making the country self-sufficient, but also allowing it to become a major regional exporter. * Sugar production growth to 2014/15: 60%. This expansion will come mainly through improved yields and sucrose content in cane. Demand from the soft drinks sector should also boost demand considerably. Despite the production improvement, the country will likely remain, along with India and the EU, one of the world's largest sugar importers. * 2010 Real GDP Growth: 5.2% (up from 4.5 in 2009; predicted to average 5.7% from now until 2014). * Consumer Price Inflation: 6% y-o-y in June 2010 (down from 3.6% y-o-y in June 2009). Key Industry Developments * A further expansion of agriculture in Indonesia's outer islands is necessary if the country is to meet the food needs of its massive population, we expect this project to face many difficulties before it becomes a reality. This will be difficult given the pervasive infrastructure deficiencies in most of the country outside of Java. There will be considerable opposition from environmental groups both at home and abroad, as has already happened in the palm oil sector. * Although we initially expected coffee growth in 2009/10 to be subdued as Indonesia suffered from drought brought on by the El Nino Southern Oscillation in the earlier part of the year, we later revised our forecast up to 9.11mn bags as the drought did not affect the crops as much as we had expected. Current heavy La Nina rains continue to hamper harvesting and transportation of grains across the country. * In an attempt to bolster the domestic grinding industry, the government placed a tax on cocoa bean exports in April 2010. Groups representing cocoa growers believe the new tariff will see a large loss of income for farmers. Although we expect high cocoa prices and government investment to help increase output over the forecast period, the continuation of the tax could see production growth ultimately stall. As such, we see the recent reduction of the cocoa bean export tax from 10% in September to 5% in October as positive for cocoa production in the short term. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Indonesia Agricultural SWOT - Indonesia Political SWOT - Indonesia Economic SWOT - Indonesia Business Environment SWOT Industry Forecast Scenario - Indonesia Livestock Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Pork Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Pork Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade - Indonesia Sugar Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade - Indonesia Coffee Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Coffee Production & Consumption - Table: Indonesia - Coffee Production & Consumption - Indonesia Cocoa Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Cocoa Productionn & Consumption - Table: Indonesia - Cocoa Production & Consumption - Indonesia Grains Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade - Indonesia Dairy Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Milk Production & Consumption - Table: Indonesia - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Milk Production & Consumption - Table: Indonesia - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade - Indonesia Rice Outlook - Table: Indonesia - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Indonesia - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade Competitive Landscape - Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders - Table: Agribusiness Suppliers - Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers Commodity Price Analysis - Softs Update - Cocoa - Table: Cocoa - Coffee - Table: Coffee - Milk - Table: Milk - Sugar - Table: Sugar - Grains Update - Corn - Table: Corn - Rice - Table: Rice - Soybean - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. End
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