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Follow on Google News | New market study, "China Real Estate Report Q4 2010", has been publishedRecently published research from Business Monitor International, "China Real Estate Report Q4 2010", is now available at Fast Market Research
Our in-country sources reported that rental rates have fallen by single-digit amounts in each of the three main sub-sectors in Shanghai. Rentals has moved sideways or tracked sideways in the other cities. Looking forward to 2011, our sources are confident that rental rates will rise in Shanghai and Beijing. The improvement in conditions is not just the result of a government fiat. It is partly a reflection of the general buoyancy of the economy and official attempts to boost domestic demand in the wake of the global financial crisis. It is also a reflection of ongoing urbanisation, a mega-trend, which involves one of the largest migrations of people in the history of mankind. However, it has also become obvious that real estate developers discounted property through 2009 and early 2010 in order to make sales. Looking forward, we expect that capital values and yields will change little. We note, however, that rents may rise in Shenzhen from 2012 as new space is made available as a result of projects which are currently under way. Crucially, we remain confident that the various protagonists (ie the developers and the various governments) This report is based on interviews with in-country sources in late February and July 2010. Key Features Of This Report This is the latest edition of a new series of industry reports published by BMI that seeks to identify the key dynamics of the real estate sectors of 44 countries around the world, some of which are developed and some of which are, in every sense, emerging markets. Once again, the questions that we seek to answer for each country remain as follows: What are the main issues that will matter to actors in and around real estate development in the country concerned, both over the long and the short term? What are the main constraints that they face? What are the key insights that one garners when one compares the real estate sector of the country concerned with its peers in other countries? In Q3 we have introduced a very substantial new improvement to the reports. We have incorporated data and qualitative observations provided to us by commercial real estate agents operating in the countries we survey. As a result we have gained a much clearer picture of the balance between demand and supply in each of three main sub-sectors - office, retail and industrial. We have also introduced a new approach to the forecasting of rental yields, which is discussed in the methodology sector of this report. In Q4, we have incorporated a lot of new data in relation to rents and yields in 2010. We gained this data by way of a new round of interviews with our in-country sources in mid-2010. In some cases, the latest information from our sources has caused us to make significant revisions to our forecasts for 2011-2014. We asked our sources to indicate what growth in rents is likely for 2011. We explain their answers in the Forecast Scenarios. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - China Real Estate/Construction SWOT - China Economic SWOT - China Business Environment SWOT Regional Real Estate Overview - Table: Asia Pacific's Office Markets At A Glance - Rents, 2009-2011 (US$ per square metre per month) - Table: Asia Pacific's Retail Markets At A Glance - Rents, 2009-2011 (US$ per square metre per month) - Table: Asia Pacific's Industrial Markets At A Glance - Rents, 2009-2011 (US$ per square metre per month) Real Estate Market Overview - Table: China's Real Estate Markets - Rentals, 2008 And 2009 (mSq per month, CNY) - Table: China's Real Estate Markets - Net Yield, 2008 And 2009 (%) - Table: China's Real Estate Markets - Terms of Contract/Lease - Table: China's Real Estate Markets - Available Space And Vacant Space (mSq) Forecast Scenario - Real Estate Outlook - Table: China Real Estate Markets - Rentals in mSq/month (CNY) - Table: China's Real Estate Markets - Net Yield, 2008-2014 (%) - Construction Overview - Table: Infrastructure And Construction Data - Macroeconomic Outlook - Table: China - Economic Activity, 2007-2014 Business Environment - Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings - Table: Asia Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings - Project Finance Ratings For Asia Pacific - Table: Design And Construction Rating - Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating - Table: Overall Project Finance Rating - China's Business Environment - Table: BMI Business And Operational Risk Ratings - Table: BMI Legal Framework Ratings - Table: Annual FDI Inflows Into Asia, 2006-2008 - Table: BMI Trade Ratings - Table: China's Top Export Destinations, 2001-2008 (US$mn) Company Monitor - China Merchants Property Development - China Vanke - Gemdale Corporation - New Huangpu Real Estate - Poly Real Estate Group - Shanghai Construction Group - Shanghai Industrial Development - Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Company - Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone - Shanghai Wanye - Shimao Property Holdings BMI Methodology - How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts - Construction Industry - Bank Lending - Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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