"Turkey Defence & Security Report Q4 2010" is now available at Fast Market Research

Sept. 15, 2010 - PRLog -- Turkey's role as a regional power is shifting as the country continues to see an evolution in it foreign policy.. This seems to have been prompted by increasingly assertive positions on a variety of issues (e.g. standing up to Israel over the Gaza blockade, and vetoing new UN sanctions on Iran) adopted by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has been steering Turkey away from its traditional pro-Western alignment in favour of closer ties with Russia, the Middle East, and other emerging economies.

The announcement by Lebanon, Turkey, Jordan and Syria that they will form an economic council to establish a free trade zone is also expected to boost influence. The free trade zone is aimed at increasing competitiveness, supporting scientific research and building a strategic partnership to strengthen trade exchange between the four countries. While this will provide benefits in the form of diversified foreign trade and investment, it will also elevate political uncertainty and potentially accentuate domestic social divisions.

In a military context, Turkey is expected to continue in its position as one of the world's largest arms importers. Within NATO, the country currently has the second-largest armed forces. However a potentially weakening economy and changing risk profile may impact budgets moving forward.

Domestic frictions present the most immediate security risk for the country. Tensions remain between religious groups, such as the ruling AK Party, and secularist institutions - such as the military and the judiciary. However, it is very unlikely that this will translate into serious threats such as large scale policy reversal or a military coup as witnessed in 1980s or 1990s.

At present, leading indicators point towards strong performance for the Turkish economy in H210. As a result , we have revised up our 2010 real GDP growth forecast to 6.3% from 4.7% previously. Though external demand is still expected to begin to slow this year, we note that a vibrant domestic consumer segment provides a favourable backdrop for the economy to remain a regional outperformer.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Turkey Security SWOT
- Turkey Defence Industry SWOT
- Turkey Political SWOT
- Turkey Economic SWOT
- Turkey Business Environment SWOT
Global Defence Overview
- Global Hotspots
- Table: Election Timetable, H210-2011
- United States: Obama To Be Tested By Mid-Term Elections
- Latin America: Beyond Lula
- Western Europe: All About Austerity
- Central Europe: New Governments To Be Tested
- South-East Europe: Turkey's Ongoing Evolution
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union: Focus On Security
- Middle East: Ongoing Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: The Election Conundrum
- Asia: The Usual Risks Prevail
- Wild Cards To Watch
Middle East Security Overview
- The Middle East In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- Regional Power Dynamics
- Nuclear Proliferation
- External Powers
- The Outlook For The Middle East
Europe Security Overview
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Turkey's Security Risk Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism Index
- Table: BMI's Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- Foreign Policy
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Table: Insurgent Groups
- External Security Situation
- Table: Background Brief - Cyprus
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- International Deployments
- Table: Foreign Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Structure
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Key Players In Turkey's Defence Sector
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Latest Developments
Forecast Scenario
- Defence Outlook
- Table: Turkey's Armed Forces, 2007-2014 ('000 personnel)
- Table: Government Defence Expenditure, 2007-2014
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Turkey - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Company Profiles
- Aselsan Military Electronics Industry Inc
- Havelsan AS
Country Snapshot: Turkey Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.