"Thailand Power Report Q3 2010" is now available at Fast Market Research

July 26, 2010 - PRLog -- The new Thailand Power Report forecasts that the country will account for 1.74% of Asia Pacific regional power generation by 2014, with a broadly balanced supply/demand picture. BMI's Asia Pacific power generation assumption for 2009 is 7,308 terawatt hours (TWh), representing an increase of 2.6% over the previous year. We are forecasting an increase in regional generation to 9,725TWh by 2014, representing a rise of 26.2% in 2010-2014.

Asia Pacific thermal power generation in 2009 totalled an estimated 5,849TWh, accounting for 80.0% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 7,600TWh, implying a 23.7% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 78.1%. This is thanks largely to environmental concerns promoting renewable sources, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Thailand's thermal generation in 2009 was an estimated 130TWh, or 2.22% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for 2.00% of thermal generation.

Oil is the dominant fuel in Thailand, accounting for an estimated 40.8% of primary energy demand (PED) in 2009, followed by gas at 37.2%, coal at 17.1% and hydro-electricity with a 1.8% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 5,334mn toe by 2014, representing 24.6% growth from the estimated 2009 level. Thailand's estimated 2009 market share of 2.14% is set to fall to 1.95% by 2014. An estimated 7TWh of hydro-electric demand in 2009 is forecast to reach 8TWh by 2014, with its share of the Asia Pacific hydro market easing from an estimated 0.75% to 0.61% over the period. While there is no existing or near-term nuclear capacity, tentative plans exist for the construction of reactors, but there is no clear government policy.

Thailand now holds seventh place just behind Vietnam in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Rating, thanks largely to its energy demand, plus moderate scores in most other categories. Vietnam has the potential to pull further away, while the presence of Indonesia and the Philippines below also poses a threat during the next few quarters.

BMI is now forecasting Thai real GDP growth averaging 3.92% per annum between 2010 and 2014, with the 2010 assumption being an increase of 3.60%. Population is expected to expand from 64.7mn to 66.7mn over the period, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita forecast to increase by 48% and 12% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 142TWh in 2009 to 168TWh by the end of the forecast period, requiring some power imports during periods of peak demand, assuming 3.4% average annual growth in electricity generation during 2010-2014.

Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in Thai electricity generation of 33.7%, which is below average for the Asia Pacific region. This equates to 17.1% in the 2014-2019 period, up from 14.2% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to increase from 16.2% in 2010-2014 to 21.7%, representing 41.4% for the entire forecast period. Hydro generation is expected to rise by 14% between 2010 and 2019, with thermal power generation forecast to increase by 29% over the same period. Renewables consumption should almost double between 2010 and 2019. More detailed long-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/74024_thailand_power_report_q3...

Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Industry Overview
- Global
- Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014
- Asia Pacific Region
- Table: Asia Pacific Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm)
- Table: Asia Pacific Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh)
Market Overview
- Primary Energy Demand
- Power Generation
- Power Consumption
- Regulation And Competition
- Pricing
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Asia Pacific Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Asia Regional Power Business Environment Ratings
- Thailand's Power Rating
- Legal Framework
- Infrastructure
- Labour Force
- Foreign Investment Policy
- Tax Regime
- Security Risk
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Thailand's Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Power Costs
- Transmission
- Table: Thailand's Thermal Power Sector. 2007-2014
- Table: Thailand's Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2007-2014
- Table: Thailand's Power Costs, 2007-2014
- Assumptions And Methodology
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Long-Term Power Outlook
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Thailand - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts
- Global Snapshot
- Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019
- Regional Outlook
- Table: Asia Pacific Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Hydro-Electric Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh)
- Thailand Overview
- Methodology And Risks To Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
- Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand (EGAT)
- Independent Power (Thailand)
- Glow Energy
- CLP/EGCO
- Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Limited (RATCH)

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=7402...

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.