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Follow on Google News | Recently published research, "Malaysia Power Report Q3 2010""Malaysia Power Report Q3 2010" is now available at Fast Market Research
Asia Pacific thermal power generation in 2009 totalled an estimated 5,849TWh, accounting for 80.0% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 7,600TWh, implying a 23.7% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 78.1%. This is thanks largely to environmental concerns promoting renewable sources, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Malaysia's thermal generation in 2009 was an estimated 96.5TWh, or 1.65% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for 1.49% of thermal generation. Malaysia's dominant fuel is gas, which accounts for an estimated 48.3% of 2009 primary energy demand (PED), followed by oil at 40.0%, coal at 9.1% and hydro with a 2.3% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 5,334mn toe by 2014, representing 24.6% growth from the estimated 2009 level. Malaysia's estimated 2009 market share of 1.33% is set to fall to 1.21% by 2014. Malaysia's estimated 7.5TWh of hydro demand in 2009 is forecast to reach 13.9TWh by 2014, with its share of the Asia Pacific hydro market rising from 0.81% to 1.05%. There is no commercial nuclear industry. Malaysia is ranked fifth behind India in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks to its low level of energy import dependence and excellent power consumption growth prospects. Certain country risk factors offset some of the industry strength, but the country is in a good position in the near term to keep clear of Thailand and Indonesia. Vietnam, just one point below, poses a medium-term threat. BMI is now forecasting Malaysian real GDP growth averaging 4.80% per annum (pa) between 2010 and 2014, with an increase of 4.90% assumed for 2010. Population is expected to expand from 28.3mn to 31.1mn over the period, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita forecast to increase 29% and 10% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 105TWh in 2009 to 130TWh by the end of the forecast period, minimising any theoretical generation surplus, assuming 5.0% average annual growth in electricity generation during 2010-2014. Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in Malaysian electricity generation of 54.2%, which is mid-range for the Asia Pacific region. This equates to 26.9% in the 2014-2019 period, up from 21.5% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to ease from 15.3% in 2010-2014 to 14.3% representing 31.7% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 102% in hydro-power use during 2010-2019 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 43% between 2010 and 2019. More details of the long-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Malaysia Power Business Environment SWOT - Malaysia Political SWOT - Malaysia Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014 - Asia Pacific Region - Table: Asia Pacific Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) - Table: Asia Pacific Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh) Market Overview - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Asia Pacific Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Asia Regional Power Business Environment Ratings - Malaysia's Power Rating - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Malaysia's Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Malaysia's Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Table: Malaysia - Economic Activity Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019 - Regional Outlook - Table: Asia Pacific Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Hydro-Electric Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Malaysia Country Overview - Methodology And Risks To Forecasts Competitive Landscape - Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) - Syarikat SESCO Berhad (SESCO) - Sabah Electricity Supply Sdn Bhd (SESB) - Malakoff - Powertek - YTL Power Company Monitor - Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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