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Follow on Google News | Indonesia Shipping Report Q3 2010: New research report available at Fast Market ResearchRecently published research from Business Monitor International, "Indonesia Shipping Report Q3 2010", is now available at Fast Market Research
Indonesian GDP, which slowed to 4.5% growth in 2009, is, according to BMI's forecast, set to expand by 5.2% this year, gathering pace to 5.8% in 2011. Over the next five years we believe that annual GDP growth will average a strong 5.8%. Although Indonesia will benefit from improving world trade and a particularly healthy Asian regional economy, the bedrock of this growth will be the domestic market, giving the country an extra degree of resilience. There are some political clouds on the horizon, but on the whole the macroeconomic outlook for the ports and shipping sector is encouraging. In 2010 BMI projects that total tonnage handled at Tanjung Priok port on West Java will increase by 5.8% to reach 37.387mn tonnes, after the sharp recession of 2009, when volume slumped by 15.9%. For the next few years, held back by capacity constraints, we see tonnage at Indonesia's main port growing by 5-6% per annum, more or less in line with the expected rate of GDP expansion. At the smaller Port of Palembang in Sumatra, where tonnage slumped by almost half in 2009, we see a modest 4.3% gain this year to 6.11mn tonnes. In 2009 Indonesia's trade volumes slumped by 12.1% in real terms, reflecting the impact of the global recession. This year we see the country experiencing a fairly vigorous trade recovery, with the total rising by 9.1%. In the next five years we see trade growing in real terms by an average of 9.3% every year, well ahead of GDP. This in part reflects where Indonesia is located: part of emerging Asia, which will be one of the world's most vigorous economic sub-regions over the next few years. In nominal terms we see exports up by 29.2% this year to US$169bn, with imports surging by almost one-third - 30.9% - to US$151.3bn. Our central forecast for Indonesian ports and shipping is relatively bullish, so it is perhaps unsurprising that we believe the risks are on the downside. Two main risks stand out. First, although he has enjoyed a relatively good run so far, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono may find himself weakened by a series of corruption scandals, and this could distract and divide his ministerial team, slowing the pace of economic reforms. Second, a sharper than feared 'double dip' recession in China and the US in 2011 could also have a negative effect on growth and freight demand, even though we believe that Indonesia is relatively protected because of the size and resilience of its domestic market. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Report Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Indonesia Shipping SWOT Global Overview - Container Shipping Overview - Dry Bulk Overview - Liquid Bulk Sector Overview Industry Trends And Developments Market Overview - Port Of Jakarta (Tanjung Priok) - Overview - Terminals, Storage And Equipment - Expansions And Developments - Multi-Modal Links - Port Of Palembang - Overview - Terminals, Storage And Equipment - Expansions And Developments - Multi-Modal Links Industry Forecast - Table: Major Port Data, 2007-2014 - Table: Trade Overview, 2007-2014 - Table: Key Trade Indicators - Table: Indonesia's Main Import Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn) - Table: Indonesia's Main Export Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn) Company Profiles - A.P. MOLLER-MAERSK - Mediterranean Shipping Company - CMA CGM - Evergreen Line - China Ocean Shipping (Group) Company (COSCO) - Hapag-Lloyd - Neptune Orient Lines (& APL) - China Shipping (CSCL) - Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (NYK) - Hanjin Shipping - Mitsui OSK Lines (MOL) About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. End
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