Market Report, "Switzerland Commercial Banking Report Q3 2010", published

July 11, 2010 - PRLog -- The worst of the contraction in the Swiss banking sector has passed, with the stabilisation of global  capital markets bolstering the investment banking arms of the country's two major international banks,  UBS and Credit Suisse. We caution that while the declines in foreign assets have ended, this does not  mean a sharp bounce in growth should be expected. We hold to our core view that the contractions in the  international assets of the Swiss banking system are reflective of structural shifts in global credit  conditions. That said, the domestically oriented banking system remains healthy, which should contribute  to aggregate asset growth of 5.0% in 2010.    The worst effects  of the global  financial crisis on  the Swiss banking  sector have passed,  with the  contraction in  aggregate assets  likely to slow  considerably. That  said, the recovery  is likely to be slow,  with asset growth  forecast to come in  at just 5.0% in  2010.    The most lacklustre component of the Swiss banking system will continue to be the major international  lenders (grossbanken), UBS and Credit Suisse, which account for over 53% of total assets. Positively,  their investment banking arms have showed marked improvement during Q110, reporting strong profits,  compared to losses recorded in Q109. This improvement was mainly due to a reversal in the trend in the  companies' investment banking arms, with profits from trading spiking while credit losses dwindled. The  trends in the grossbanken's income statements were mirrored in the banking sector's aggregate balance  sheet. Declines in foreign assets, which were the primary contributor to the overall contraction in banking  sector assets, have largely stopped after wiping roughly CHF1trn off of the balance sheet in 2008-2009.  We believe foreign assets have stabilised at CHF1.5trn (2004's level)

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
- Table: Levels (CHFbn)
- Table: Levels (US$bn)
- Table: Levels At December 2009
- Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%)
- Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010
- Table: Projected Levels (CHFbn)
- Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
- Switzerland Commercial Banking SWOT
- Switzerland Political SWOT
- Switzerland Economic SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
- Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Switzerland Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
- Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
- Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
- Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios
- Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010
- Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
- Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009)
- Table: Interbank Rates & Bond Yields
Switzerland Banking Sector Outlook
Economic Outlook
- Table: Switzerland Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Company Profiles
- UBS
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Credit Suisse
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Aargauische Kantonalbank
- Berner Kantonalbank
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Luzerner Kantonalbank
- Table:Stock Market Indicators
- Table:Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- St Galler Kantonalbank
- Table:Stock Market Indicators
- Table:Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table:Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Zurcher Kantonalbank
- Banque Cantonale Vaudoise
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CHFmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
- Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
- Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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