Market Report, "Poland Insurance Report Q3 2010", published

New Financial Services research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
 
June 5, 2010 - PRLog -- Writing in April 2010, we have been able to ensure that the report includes actual data for 2008. We have generally been able to use data published in 2009 to adjust our data for the year as a whole. We estimate total premiums in 2009 of PLN55,756mn. This comprises non-life premiums of PLN22,158mn and life premiums of PLN33,598mn. In 2014 the corresponding figures are forecast at PLN70,504mn, PLN36,711mn and PLN33,792mn respectively. In terms of the key drivers that underpin our forecasts, we forecast that non-life penetration will rise from 1.66% in 2009 to 2.0% in 2014 and life density from US$300 to US$340. BMI's proprietary Insurance Business Environment Rating for Poland is 60.2 out of 100.

We include a discussion of developments in regional markets on the basis of results published by major cross-border companies in relation to Q209 or Q309 and the latest information provided by regulators and/or trade associations. In their latest reports, both PZU and Vienna Insurance Group have discussed the sharp downturn in life premiums relative to 2008, which in Poland has only partly been due to the economic downturn.

Poland's Insurance Sector In Q210

Although it has been possible for insurers in Poland to increase their profitability, it has been difficult for them to expand in terms of premiums. Figures released towards the end of 2009 by the regulator, the Polish Financial Supervisory Authority (KNF) in relation to the first three quarters of that year indicated that non-life premiums were, at PLN16,046mn, up 4.3% year-on-year (y-o-y). By contrast, life premiums were down 24.3%, to PLN22,309mn.

In the non-life segment, Allianz's local operations stood out for suffering a (miniscule) reduction in premiums written; most other players whose business contracted were extremely small. ERGO Hestia was unusual in that it was both large (the second largest company, with a market share of nearly 10%) and rapidly growing, with premiums in the first nine months of 2009 up 17% y-o-y. During the first three quarters of 2009, CASCO stood out for the fall in gross premiums of almost 8%. However, premiums rose for virtually all other non-life lines, including compulsory motor third party liability (CMTPL).

One piece of good news was that the total number of policies outstanding in the non-life segment at the end of September 2009 (63.356mn) was up only 3.2% y-o-y. The implication is that, across most non-life lines, pricing has remained quite firm. However, the reverse was true in the life segment, where the total number of individual life contracts rose from 11.949mn at the end of September 2008 to 12.021mn at the end of September 2009. The number of group life contracts increased from 353,625 to 377,686.

The obvious conclusion is that some life companies are chasing profitability rather than growth for its own sake. Of the 10 largest players in the life segment (PZU, ING, WARTA, Allianz, Eureko, ALICO, Aviva, Nordea, UNIQA and Generali/PPF), there was a surprising diversity of changes in premiums in the first nine months of 2009. WARTA (up 23%), ING (up 35%) and Allianz (up 47%) experienced strong gains in gross written premiums. In contrast, double-digit falls were experienced by UNIQA (down 16%), PZU (down 33%) and Aviva (down 65%).

In its report for the three quarters ending September 30 2009 (which was released towards the end of November), PZU noted that overall gross profits had risen from PLN2,772mn to PLN4,054mn. This was mostly due to an improvement in investment income, which rose from PLN820mn to PLN2,615mn. The slippage in life premiums was due almost entirely to the company's electing to curtail sales of unit-linked bancassurance products, in order to avoid asset concentration risk. Premiums from other life products actually rose by 6%. In PZU's non-life business, lower CMTPL and CASCO premiums were offset by growth in most other lines. Claims rose as a result of motor insurance claims (which were influenced by the movement in the euro/zloty exchange rate) and a series of one-off events. The company took a more conservative approach to provisioning as well.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/65653_poland_insurance_report_...

Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
- Table: Overview Of Poland's Insurance Sector
- Key Insights On Poland's Insurance Sector
- Issues To Watch
SWOT Analysis
- Poland Insurance SWOT
- Poland Political SWOT
- Poland Economic SWOT
- Poland Business Environment SWOT
MetLife's Acquisition Of ALICO
- Table: ALICO At A Glance
- Table: ALICO's Pre-Tax Profits By Segment And Region Contribution, Year To November 30 2009 (%)
- Table: ALICO - A Market Leader In Japan
- Table: MetLife's Acquisition Of ALICO
- Table: MetLife And ALICO Combined
Central And Eastern Europe Overview
- Table: Gross Premiums Written In Selected Central And Eastern European Countries, 2008-2009
Projections And Forecasts
- Table: Insurance Premiums, 2007-2014
- Projections And Drivers Of Growth
- Table: Growth Drivers, 2007-2014
Country Update
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
- Political Outlook
Insurance Business Environment Rating
- Table: Poland - Insurance Business Environment Indicators
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Insurance Business Environment Ratings
Regional Context
- Table: Non-Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2008
- Table: Life Premiums In A Regional Context, 2008
- Table: Comparison Of Major Lines As % Of Non-Life Premiums, 2006
Major Players In Poland's Insurance Sector
- Table: Principal Insurance Lines By Gross Written Premiums, 2008 (PLNmn)
- Table: Insurance Companies By Gross Written Premiums, H109 (PLNmn)
Analysis Of Regional Competitive Conditions
Local Company Profiles
- Benefia
- Europa
- Powszechny Zak3ad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU)
Regional Company Profiles
- AEGON
- ALICO
- Allianz
- Aviva
- AXA
- Cardif

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=6565...

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Tags:Premiums, Insurance, Non-life, Alico, Pzu, Rose, Written, Allianz, Metlife, Uniqa
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