The most striking change since the last report has been the rapid development of the now worldwide credit crisis and the subsequent recession following on from it. The Latvian general economy is already experiencing markedly negative year on year rates of growth. So, the very considerable macro-economic imbalances that developed in the preceding boom which were greater in Latvia than the other Baltic states, mean that Latvia looks destined for a very hard landing with as much as two years of negative growth. More generally it remains an emerging market and Europe in general faces a protracted period of negative and then low growth. Nonetheless, the following features which make Estonia attractive for its stability will also tend to insulate it from the more severe effects of this crisis. Over the longer term, the prospects for the Latvian insurance sector are dictated by a variety of factors - some good and some bad. On one hand, there is much to be positive about. The overall country risk compares quite favourably with that of other countries in Central and Eastern Europe and, indeed elsewhere. Demand for insurance - in both the non-life and the life segments - is booming and should grow at double-digit rates throughout the forecast period. Quite unlike, say, Poland or Lithuania, insurance is not dominated by a former state-owned monopoly. Indeed, a surprisingly large number of multi-national insurers (most - but not all - of whom are associated with financial services groups that have ambitions in Scandinavia and the Baltic States) have established or bought operations in Latvia or have, at least, set up a branch office in Riga. However, not all the insurers are subsidiaries of pan-European (or at least Scandinavian)
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