Advanced Access Architectures 2008 - Aarkstore Enterprise

Sept. 23, 2009 - PRLog -- In addition to providing complete background on Advanced Access Architectures (AAAs), this report is going to focus on the progress to date of AAAs (or in some cases the lack thereof), changes in architecture, and especially how we are changing our forecasts (and why) for Advanced Access Architectures (AAAs) development. It is also introducing for the first time extensive cost analysis of the various forms of AAAs, and comprehensive traffic (bandwidth) requirements analysis and forecasts affecting AAAs.



(Please note that we will use the terminology Advanced Access Architectures (AAAs) throughout this report to refer to the collection of FTTx architectures and their variations. We feel that this is more comprehensive than simply FTTx.)



This report, more than any of our past five reports on the subject, will focus on:

Bandwidth requirements, and options for obtaining that bandwidth

Costs of alternatives in AAAs

Forecasts for the acceptance of AAAs by customers

The impact of AAAs on legacy high-speed access systems (e.g., xDSL)

Reasons for a New Report



As this is our sixth major report on the subject, one may ask why we are writing a new report. The answer involves a number of factors that have changed which we will be covering in the various sections of the report. Included in these changed items are:
Forecast



It has become apparent that we were too optimistic (as were the RBOCs) in terms of not only deployment (households passed) of AAAs, but also, and especially, cutover (households served) of the new AAAs. There appear to be structural limits as to how many homes Verizon or AT&T can cut over in a quarter. This, rather than demand, appears to be limiting how fast AAAs will actually be cut over. In addition, we are seeing a very clear and totally unexpected phenomenon of lack of focus by the major RBOCs on their other, legacy high-speed markets – the xDSL market. This lack of focus is causing a strong deterioration in those markets for high-speed additions. Naturally, this makes an attractive place of attack for the cable companies. We will be presenting our new forecast for the total high-speed market as a part of this discussion.



So we will be presenting our new forecast for deployment and cutover of AAAs, and all of the charts and statistical information in this report will be based on the new forecast. Naturally, these changes in forecast will make big differences to equipment and fiber suppliers, as well as all others involved in this program. To this point, we are proving an Appendix coving the quantitative equipment and fiber needs to meet our AAAs forecast.

Costs and Financial Impacts

Our material costs forecasts appear to be very consistent with actual experience, and there are therefore only minor, if any, changes in them in this report. However, the cost of actually installing an AAA in a customer’s home appears to have been underestimated. At least anecdotally, there appear to be indications that it may take as much as two men for a day to install AAAs in a customer’s home.

In addition, there is the twin impact of the major telcos continuing to lose main lines (wire lines) and the associated revenues, while the above-mentioned slowness of cutover of the AAAs is preventing data revenues from filling the gap.

We will be exploring these issues in some depth in this report.

BellSouth Properties

Since the acquisition of BellSouth by SBC, forming AT&T, there has been a question of what will be done with the BellSouth high-speed lines. BellSouth had a very active program in place of installing FTTC (fiber-to-the-curb) in their territories, and had succeeded in installing more than 1,000,000 lines at the time of the acquisition. This architecture is a compromise between FTTN (SBC’s architecture) and FTTP (Verizon’s architecture). It provided great bandwidth for high-speed Internet, but, as installed, is probably not suitable for video (particularly high-definition). The answer to this question appears to be becoming clearer, and that will be covered in some depth in this report.

In covering this issue, we will also investigate the quantitative differences in the three major architectures, FTTP (or FTTH), FTTC, and FTTN. In addition, as a part of this discussion, we will review the bandwidth capabilities of the various architectures, particularly focusing on VDSL2 and bonding.

# # #

We specialize in providing online market business information on market research reports, books, magazines, conference booking at competitive prices, and strive to provide excellent and innovative service to our customers. We are built on the premise that reading is valuable, capable of stirring emotions and firing the imagination. Whether you’re looking for new product trends or competitive analysis of a new or existing market, Aarkstore.com has the best resource offerings and the expertise to make sure you get the right product every time.