This makes India the second-most affected nation after Malaysia in the first quarter of 2008 among key property markets, according to a Citigroup report. Interestingly, in the US, the property market index is trading at just 12% discount to its NAV. Its performance is even better than the global index, which is ruling at an 18% discount. NAV is the present discounted value of all future cash flows of a property firm. It factors in the existing land bank, overall development opportunities and project execution of a property firm. It is a valuation tool for real estate firms.
Analysts say the discount to NAV shows that the Indian property market is on a downswing. According to ICICI Direct real estate analyst Rupesh Sankhe, “Historically, when the property market cycle is on an upswing, firm’s trade at a premium to their NAVs, and during a downturn, this tends to get reversed with shares trading at a discount. Since real estate stocks are high risk, the trend gets amplified.”
Indian property stock prices have dropped as much as 50-67% and underperformed the Sensex by 23% in the first quarter of 2008. Such a sharp fall has widened the discount to their NAVs, which was just 1-2% in November ’07. This is despite the fact that Citigroup has lowered the NAVs of Indian property firms by 9-27% in its analysis. Real estate consultancy firm Cushman & Wakefield joint managing director Sanjay Dutt says high interest rates have made property firms with high debt exposure prone to rapid erosion of corporate valuations.
He added that each segment of the domestic real estate sector is facing problems: “With the exit of speculators from the residential market, the transaction volume is........ For Latest Real Estate News: http://www.maaproperties.com/
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