Global demand to rise 4%annually through 2011
World rubber consumption is forecast to increase 4.0 percent annually to 26.5 million metric tons in 2011. Gains will directly benefit from solid growth in world motor vehicle production, as well as a strong global economy. The US, China and Japan dominate global rubber consumption, and will continue to do so,
collectively accounting for more than half of the market in 2011. China has become the leading consumer of rubber worldwide, following more than a decade of
strong growth in motor vehicle production and industrial goods manufacturing. The country overtook Japan as the second largest rubber market in the late 1990s
and by 2001 had essentially caught up to the US as the world’s leading consumer. While China will continue to extend that lead, the US and Japan will remain
leading markets worldwide, because of their extensive motor vehicle and tire industries.
Chinese market to slow yet remain fastest growing
The strongest gains are forecast for China, though the double digit annual gains that characterized China’s rubber market from 2001 to 2006 are forecast to
slow significantly as its domestic market matures and motor vehicle production decelerates. The Chinese market will be sustained primarily by expanding demand
for industrial rubber products such as hoses, belts and gaskets, offsetting slower, though still solid, growth for tire rubber. Above-average gains also are forecast for most of the rest of the Asia/ Pacific, excluding Japan, which will benefit from strong economic growth and rising motor vehicle production. Inaddition, the growing tire industries in these nations will support demand for rubber. Among the major developed regions, the large North American, West European
and Japanese markets will all see gains below the global average. Each of these regions will suffer from a weak outlook for the regional motor vehicle industry
and competition from nations with lower labor or raw material costs. Non-tire rubber demand to outpace tire rubber Non-tire rubber will outpace tire rubber
demand through 2011, based on a favorable outlook for mid-range elastomers (e.g., ethylene-propylene, nitrile and polychloroprene)
and also have shorter service lives, thus stimulating replacement demand. Natural, synthetic rubber to both expand at strong pace Demand for both natural and synthetic rubber will expand at a strong pace, but the division of the market will remain essentially unchanged through 2011, with synthetic rubber continuing to hold
approximately 55 percent of demand and natural rubber holding the remaining 45 percent. General-purpose synthetic commodity elastomers -- typically
defined as SBR (styrene-butadiene rubber), BR (polybutadiene rubber) and IR (polyisoprene rubber) -- account for the vast majority of synthetic rubber
demand.
Study coverage
World Tire & Rubber, a new Freedonia industry study, is available for $5500. It presents historical demand data for the years 1996, 2001 and 2006 and forecasts
for 2011 and 2016 by product (tires, natural rubber, synthetic rubber), world region and for 30 national markets. The study also considers market environment
factors, assesses global industry structure, evaluates company market share and pro- files 48 industry competitors worldwide.
Table of Contents
Introduction
Executive Summary
Market ENVIRONMENT
General
World Economic Environment
Recent Economic Performance
World Economic Outlook
World Population Overview
World Motor Vehicle Production
World Motor Vehicles in Use
Natural & Synthetic Rubber Pricing Trends
Legal & Regulatory Environment
World Tire Outlook
General
World Tire Demand
World OEM Tire Demand
World Replacement Tire Demand
World Tire Net Exports
World Tire Production
World Tire Production Capacity
World Rubber Outlook
General
Rubber Consumption by Region
Rubber Consumption by Market
Rubber Consumption by Type
World Rubber Net Exports
World Rubber Production
World Synthetic Rubber Production
World Natural Rubber Production
World Synthetic Rubber Capacity
North America
General
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
United States
Canada
Mexico
Western Europe
General
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
Belgium/Luxembourg
France
Germany
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Other Western Europe
Asia/Pacific
General
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
Australia
China
India
Indonesia
Japan
Malaysia
South Korea
Taiwan
Thailand
Vietnam
Other Asia/Pacific
OTHER REGIONS
Latin America
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
Brazil
Other Latin America
Eastern Europe
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
Czech Republic
Poland
Russia
Ukraine
Other Eastern Europe
Africa/Mideast
Tire Supply & Demand
Tire Production Capacity
Rubber Supply & Demand
Synthetic Rubber Capacity
Iran
South Africa
Turkey
Other Africa/Mideast
Industry Structure
General
Market Share & Industry Concentration
Tires
Non-Tire Rubber Products
Synthetic Rubber
Natural Rubber
Acquisitions, Divestitures &
Industry Restructuring
Cooperative Agreements
Marketing & Distribution
Competitive Strategies
Research & Development
Company Profiles
List Of Tables
Executive Summary
1 Summary Table
Market Environment
1 World Gross Domestic Product
by Region
2 World Population by Region
3 World Motor Vehicle Production
4 World Motor Vehicles in Use by Region
World Tire Outlook
1 World Tire Supply & Demand
2 World Tire Demand by Region & Market
3 World OEM Tire Demand by Region
4 World Replacement Tire
Demand by Region
5 World Tire Net Exports by Region
6 World Tire Production by Region & Type
7 World Tire Production Capacity
by Region, Year-End 2006
World Rubber Outlook
1 World Rubber Supply & Demand
2 World Rubber Consumption by Region
3 World Rubber Consumption by Market
4 World Rubber Consumption by Type
5 World Rubber Net Exports by Region
6 World Rubber Production
by Region & Type
7 World Synthetic Rubber
Production by Region
8 World Natural Rubber
Production by Region
9 World Synthetic Rubber Capacity
by Region, Year-End 2006
Industry Structure
1 World Tire Sales by Company,
Year-End 2006
2 World Non-Tire Rubber Sales
by Company, Year-End 2006
3 World Synthetic Rubber Capacity
by Company, Year-End 2006
4 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
5 Selected Cooperative Agreements
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