The forecast given in this report is not based on a complex economic model, but is intended as a rough guide to the direction in which the market is likely to move. The future projection undertaken in this report is done on the basis of the current market scenario, past trends.
Key Findings of the Report
Although debit cards are more in number than credit cards in card ownership but in terms of transactions, credit cards are e used more than debit cards.
The number of bankable households in Turkey is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 7.09% during 2007-2012.
Consumer loans increased by 43.67% in the second quarter of 2007 from the first quarter of 2007.
Credit card market is anticipated to move up at a CAGR of 15% to cross 70 Million cards by 2012 from 2008.
Total banking assets swelled at a CAGR of 27.7% from 2002 to 2006.
Deposit banks accounted for more than 95% of banking assets as of June 2007.
Banking assets in Turkey are expected to surge at a CAGR of 29.70% during 2008-2012.
Mortgage industry is projected to cross US$ 50 Billion by 2011 growing at a CAGR of 20.12% from 2008.
Key Issues & Facts Analyzed in the Report
Market analysis of different product segments in the Turkish banking industry.
Evaluation of current market trends.
Assets, deposits, and loan concentration by bank group.
Factors driving growth of Turkey’s banking industry.
Analysis of various challenges and opportunities for the industry.
Scenario of credit and debit card industry by service providers.
Analysis of Internet banking by financial and investment transaction both in value and volume terms.
Evaluation of consumer loan industry ((like home loans and vehicle loans) with segments.
Number of ATMs and Points of Sale (POS) in the Turkish banking industry.
Key Players Analyzed
This section covers key facts along with their financial information of major players, including Garanti Bank,Yapı Kredi, Akbank, Is Bankasi, and Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi T.A.O, operating in the Turkish banking industry.
Research Methodology Used
Information Sources
Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.
Analysis Method
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.
Table of Content
1. Analyst View
2. Global Banking Industry
2.1 Overview
2.2 Segmentation - By Region
2.3 Top Performing Banks
3. Middle East Banking Industry
3.1 Overview
3.2 Segmentation - By Country
4. Why to Focus on Turkish Banking Industry?
4.1 Growing Bankable Population
4.2 Young & Educated Population
4.3 Booming Housing Loan Industry
4.4 Strong Regulatory Environment & Association Framework
4.5 EU Accession & Foreign Investment
4.6 Slashing Interest Rates
4.7 Declining NPL/Gross Loan Ratio
5. Turkey Banking - PEST Analysis
5.1 Political Environment
5.2 Economic Policies
5.3 Social & Demographic Behavior
5.4 Technology Infrastructural Support
6. Performance Indicators of Banking Industry
6.1 Assets
6.2 Deposits
6.3 Net Income
6.4 Loans
6.5 Non Performing Loans (NPL)
6.6 Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
7. Product Landscape of Banking Industry
7.1 Consumer Loan
7.2 Mortgage Industry
7.3 Internet Banking
7.3.1 Financial Transactions
7.3.2 Investment Transactions
7.4 Financial Card
7.4.1 Credit Card
7.4.2 Debit Card
7.5 ATM & POS
8. Mergers & Acquisitions
9. Future Growth Areas
9.1 Mortgage Industry
9.2 Support Services (Call Centers)
9.3 Housing Finance
9.4 M-Banking
9.5 Increasing Bankable Households
9.6 Bancassurance
9.7 Private Banking
10. Roadblocks & RNCOS Recommendations
10.1 Volatile Economy
10.2 Maturity Mismatch
10.3 Basel II Accords
10.4 Increasing Loan Default
11. Key Players
11.1 Garanti Bank
11.2 Yapı Kredi
11.3 Akbank
11.4 Is Bankasi
11.5 Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi T.A.O.
List of Table
Table 2-1: Global - Banking Industry Loans by Region (in Trillion US$), 2002-2006
Table 2-2: Global - Top Performing Banks by Capital Base, Assets & Capitalization (June 2007)
Table 3-1: Middle East - Comparison of Conventional & Islamic Banks
Table 3-2: Middle East - Banking Industry Assets by Country (in Billion US$), 2006E
Table 6-1: Turkey - Top 10 Banks by Assets (in Million US$), June 2007
Table 6-2: Turkey - Top 10 Banks by Deposits (in Million US$), June 2007
Table 6-3: Turkey - Corporate Gross Loans by Top Sector (%), 2004-2006
Table 6-4: Turkey - NPL Ratio of Sectors (%), 2002-2006
Table 7-1: Turkey - Number of Customers Using Internet Banking Services (June 2006, Mar 2007 & June 2007)
Table 7-2: Turkey - Number (in ‘000) & Volume (in Million TRY) of Financial Transactions (Mar 2007 & June 2007)
Table 7-3: Turkey - Number (in ‘000) & Volume (in Million TRY) of Investment Transactions (Mar 2007 & June 2007)
Table 7-4: Turkey - Number of Credit Cards in Circulation by Service Provider (2000-2006)
Table 7-5: Turkey - Number of Debit Cards in Circulation by Service Provider (2000-2006)
Table 8-1: Turkey - Banking Industry Mergers & Acquisition (in Million US$), Jan 2006 to July 2007
Table 10-1: Turkey - Consumer Loans by Purpose under Legal Follow-up (in ‘000 TRY), June 2006 to June 2007
Table 11-1: Garanti Bank - Key Financials (in Million TRY), 2005 & 2006
Table 11-2: Yapı Kredi - Key Financials (in Billion TRY), H1 2007
Table 11-3: Akbank - Key Financials (in Billion TRY), H1 2007
Table 11-4: Is Bankasi - Key Financials (in Billion TRY), H1 2007
Table 11-5: Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi T.A.O. - Key Financials (in Million TRY), H1 2007
List of Charts
Figure 2-1: Global - Banking Industry Assets (in Trillion US$), 2002-2007E
Figure 2-2: Global - Forecast for Banking Industry Assets (in Trillion US$), 2008-2011
Figure 2-3: Global - Banking Industry Deposits (in Billion US$), 2002-2006
Figure 3-1: Middle East - Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2003-2007E
Figure 3-2: Middle East - Forecast for Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2008-2011
Figure 4-1: Turkey - Number of Bankable Households (in Million), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-2: Turkey - Housing Loan Industry (in Million US$), 2000 to March 2006
Figure 4-3: Turkey - Interest Rates of Housing, Vehicle & Other Consumer Loans (%), Dec 2002 to Mar 2007
Figure 4-4: Turkey - NPL/Gross Loan Ratio (%), 2002-2006 & Apr 2007
Figure 5-1: Turkey - GDP Growth Rate (%), 2002-2006
Figure 5-2: Turkey - Number of Internet Subscribers (in Million), 2001-2010F
Figure 5-3: Turkey - Internet Penetration (per 100 People), 2001-2010F
Figure 6-1: Turkey - Banking Industry Assets (in Billion US$), 2002-2006 & June 2007
Figure 6-2: Turkey - Banking Industry Assets by Bank Group (%), June 2007
Figure 6-3: Turkey - Banking Industry Assets by Bank Group (%), 2006
Figure 6-4: Turkey - Assets of Deposit Banks by Group (%), June 2007
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