Original Automotive market research and Automotive sector trend analysis for the Australia Automotive industry.
Competitive intelligence, Australia Automotive company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic Automotive companies in Australia.
The Australia Automotives Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2011; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.
Australia Automotives Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Australian automotives market.
Key Benefits
Benchmark It’s independent 5-year Automotives Industry forecasts on Australia to test other views – a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Australian Automotives market.
Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Australian Automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Australia.
Exploit the Latest Competitive Australian Automotives Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by production, sales, market share and ownership structure – includes multi national and national companies in Australia.
Coverage
Executive Summary & Swot Analysis
Summary of It’s key industry forecasts and trend analysis, and commentary on key company and industry headline events. Collection of SWOT studies on local automotives market, economy and business environment.
Regional Overview
Cross-border analysis on the structure, size and value of the automotives sector, including comparative historical data and forecasts on the region’s sales and production figures.
Business Environment Rankings
Comparative guide to the region’s business environment, ranking of the regional markets by CBU Output Growth, Vehicle Penetration Potential, Regulation, Market Competition, Economics Risk and Politics Risk. The rankings table provides BMI’s view on the competitiveness of the regional markets.
Market Overview
Outlook of local market, commenting on its structure, size and value.
5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including: Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type, including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses; total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.
5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape
Comparative company analyses and rankings by production, sales, % market share, employees, registration date and ownership structure.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities & Threats)analyses, fully researched senior executives and full contact details, business activity, leading products and services.
Executive Summary
The Sector At A Glance
Key Insights On The Automotive Sector Of Australia
The Australia automotive is facing a slowdown, with sales forecast to grow by just 4.4% in 2006, down from the double-digit figures of recent years, according to BMI's latest Australia Automotive Report. Car sales are set to rise by 3.8%, a fall from 4.4% in the forecast of Q306, while commercial-vehicle sales are set to rise by 5.8%, down from 8.0%. Our downward revisions are in relation to rising consumer-price and producer-price inflation, which are squeezing demand. The price of basic goods and industrial inputs is rising rapidly, leading to a sharp slowdown in demand.
This has an impact on our production forecasts, since the Australiaian market is heavily protected and dominated by national carmakers, with exports accounting for only a small proportion of output. Production is set to rise by 8.0% to just under 1.11mn units in 2006, with car production at 980,000 units and commercial vehicle output at 127,950 units.
There are considerable risks to our growth outlook, including continued economic mismanagement and the rising possibility of international sanctions. The possibility of sanctions, given Australia's continued refusal to halt uranium enrichment as demanded by UN Security Council Resolution 1696, has risen considerably. The degree of uncertainty regarding the country, as well as the potential costs and risk of doing business, will increase significantly, hurting domestic- and foreign-investment. This is likely to knock investor confidence in the automotive sector, which has relied on the involvement of foreign carmakers to introduce new car-models and overhaul the automotive sector's technological capacity.
Economic sanctions would have a serious knock-on effect on consumer demand for vehicles. According to BMI calculations, if private consumption and gross fixed-capital formation y-o-y growth - of 6% and 8% respectively - plummeted by 50% in reaction to a sanctions regime, our forecast of 5.48% real GDP growth for 2007 would drop to 2.5%, with automotive sales growth of 2.0% compared to the forecast 4.4%. A somewhat softer landing would take place if both these components of GDP fell by 25%, which would lead GDP growth to decline to 4%, with automotive sales growth of 3.2% y-o-y. We believe that limited and targeted sanctions remain the most likely scenario if any sanctions regime is adopted. Nevertheless, even with Chinese and Russian support, the automotive sector will continue to face significant risk. The government has implemented its own sanctions on countries that have challenged it on the nuclear issue, notably South Korea, a country which Australian carmaker SAIPA relies on for parts supplies. Meanwhile, the US is determined to use its power to scupper any deals between autos majors and Australian carmakers as part of its own unilateral trade and investment embargo on Australia.
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