Annual Container Market Review and Forecast
1. Executive summary
1.1 World container trade and port volumes
1.2 Global Supply
1.2.1 The current fleet and forecast fleet development
1.3 The supply/demand balance
1.4 Trade route analysis
1.4.1 Transpacific trade
1.4.2 Far East-North Europe
1.4.3 Transatlantic trade
1.4.4 North-South trades
1.5 Freight rates and carrier financials
1.6 The charter and S&P market
2. World container trade and port volumes
2.1 World container port traffic
2.2 Economic overview
2.3 Forecast of container traffic activity
3. Global supply
3.1 The current fleet
3.2 The containership orderbook
3.3 Newbuilding prices
3.4 Demolition
3.5 Forecast containership fleet development
4. Supply/demand balance
4.1 Methodology and background
4.2 Recent developments and outlook for the supply/demand balance
5. Trade route analysis
5.1 East/West axis
5.1.1 Transpacific trade
5.1.2 Asia-North Europe
5.1.3 Mediterranean/
5.1.4 Transatlantic trade
5.1.5 Mediterranean/
5.2 North-South trades
5.2.1 Australasian trades
5.2.2 East Coast South American trades
5.2.3 West Coast South American trades
5.2.4 South African trades
5.2.5 West African trades
6. Freight rates and carrier financials
6.1 Global industry accounts
6.2 Freight rate development and forecast
6.3 Profitability
7. The charter market and S&P
7.1 Charter market development
7.2 The charter market outlook
7.3 Sale and purchase
8. Issues
8.1 The impact of rising bunker costs
8.2 Ordering and deployment of super post-Panamax tonnage
8.3 The impact of container imbalances in the major east/west trades (part two)
Appendices
Appendix 1 Rate and surcharge developments
Appendix 2 Port code abbreviations
Tables
1.1 Quarterly container growth by region
1.2 Estimated world container traffic and its components
1.3 Estimated 2006 world container trade by route
1.4 Quarterly forecast container growth by region
1.5 World containership fleet by size range
1.6 Forecast containership fleet development
1.7 Estimated development of carryings of selected major ocean carriers
1.8 Containership orderbook by size and scheduled delivery year
1.9 Forecast global supply/demand balances
1.10 Transpacific trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
1.11 North Europe/Far East trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
1.12 Transatlantic trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 3% westbound and 2% eastbound
1.13 Nominal global carrier income, 2001-2007
1.14 Development of selected carriers' quarterly average unit revenues, 2003-2007
1.15 Average time charter rates, 2000-2007
2.1 Estimated annual growth in container activity by region
2.2 Estimated annual growth in container activity by region
2.3 Quarterly container growth by region
2.4 Quarterly container activity by region
2.5 Port throughputs – quarterly comparison
2.6 Monthly growth in container throughput at selected Chinese ports
2.7 Container volume seasonality
2.8 Estimated world container traffic and its components
2.9 Estimated development of global empty and transhipment volumes, 1990-2006
2.10 Estimated development of empty container volumes and incidence by region
2.11 Estimated transhipment volumes at main hub ports, 2006
2.12 Estimated development of container transhipment activity by region
2.13 Estimated 2006 world container trade by route
2.14 Estimated 2006 world container trade by market sector
2.15 Real GDP growth in major economies
2.16 EU inward FDI to China 1990-2005
2.17 Forecast medium term growth in container activity by region
2.18 Forecast medium term container activity by region
2.19 Quarterly forecast container growth by region
2.20 Quarterly forecast container activity by region
2.21 Forecast development of world container traffic, 2005-2012
2.22 Regional container activity and economic wealth
2.23 Regional container activity and population levels
3.1 World containership fleet by size range
3.2 Cellular containership fleet development
3.3 Containerships keep getting bigger
3.4 World (non-cellular)
3.5 Containership orderbook by size and scheduled delivery year
3.6 World (non-cellular)
3.7 Containership orderbook developments
3.8 Estimated development of newbuilding prices
3.9 Demolition prices
3.10 Sales for demolition, 2001-2007
3.11 Forecast containership fleet development
3.12 Forecast east/west headhaul demand and global fleet development comparison
4.1 Major factors affecting the supply/demand balance
4.2 Estimated development of the container market supply/demand balance, 2002-2007
4.3 Time charter rate developments in the super-cycle – containerships and dry bulk carriers
4.4 Development of the East-West headhaul supply/demand balance
4.5 Comparing the supply/demand indices
4.6 Forecast global supply/demand balances
4.7 Trade imbalances and the global supply/demand position
5.1 Capacity deployed on the major East/West trade routes
5.2 Capacity increases on the major East/West trades
5.3 Capacity deployed on the major North/South trade routes
5.4 Capacity increases on the major North/South trades
5.5 Summary of selected major east/west services, quarter by quarter, commencing 3Q07
5.6 Transpacific trade capacity and service summary
5.7 Development of Transpacific capacity, 2001-2008 – adjusted for out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
5.8 Transpacific trade – forecast containerised cargo volumes by quarter, 2001-2012
5.9 Seasonality in the Transpacific trade
5.10 Transpacific trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
5.11 US/Far East westbound volumes in teu per selected commodity, 2006-2007
5.12 Transpacific trade, development of East/West ratio
5.13 Europe-Far East trade capacity and service summary
5.14 Development of North Europe/Far East capacity, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
5.15 Forecast development of North Europe/Far East container trade volumes 2001-2012
5.16 Selected major commodities exported from China to North Europe, 2006/2007
5.17 North Europe/Far East trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 2.5% eastbound and 2% westbound
5.18 Far East/Mediterranean trade capacity and service summary
5.19 Mediterranean/
5.20 Mediterranean/
5.21 Imports and exports between China and European Countries, Jan-May 2006/07
5.22 Mediterranean/
5.23 Transatlantic trade capacity and service summary
5.24 Development of Transatlantic capacity, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 3% westbound and 2% eastbound
5.25 Transatlantic trade – forecast containerised cargo volumes by quarter, 2001-2012
5.26 Seasonality in the Transatlantic container trade
5.27 Transatlantic trade – estimated quarterly supply/demand position, 2001-2008 – adjusted by out of scope cargo of 3% westbound and 2% eastbound
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